Advisories
Odalys32 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 032 Sep 27, 08:38 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Sep 27, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 27, 08:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 27, 02:54 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 26, 02:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 26, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 26, 02:53 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 25, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 25, 02:47 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 25, 11:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 25, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 25, 03:13 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 24, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 24, 02:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 24, 08:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 24, 02:50 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 23, 08:53 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 23, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 23, 08:41 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 23, 02:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 22, 08:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 22, 02:45 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 22, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 22, 02:58 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 21, 08:46 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 21, 02:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 21, 08:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 21, 02:42 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 20, 08:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 20, 02:56 PM UTC
000 WTPZ41 KNHC 201456 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Odalys Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP162026 800 AM PDT Sun Sep 20 2026 Deep convection has been increasing in association with Odalys this morning, with cloud tops colder than -80 deg C near the estimate center location. Some banding features are beginning to develop over the southern semicircle of the system. Upper-level outflow is limited to the north of the storm, however. The current intensity is set at 40 kt for this advisory, which is a blend of subjective and objective Dvorak estimates. The center is not easy to locate, but my best estimate of initial motion is west-northwestward, or around 285/8 kt. Odalys should turn northwestward as it moves on the southwestern side of a narrow and weakening mid-level ridge to its northeast. After about 48 hours, the system should slow and turn northeastward and eastward in response to the ridge weakening and a mid-tropospheric trough moving over southern California and Baja California. Later in the forecast period, the cyclone should move generally northeastward along the northwest side of a mid-level ridge. However there is significant uncertainty in the 3-5 day track of Odalys due its potential interaction with a developing tropical cyclone to its east. The official track forecast is fairly close to the lastest corrected model consensus, HCCA, prediction. Odalys should be in an environment conducive for strengthening during the next few days, with very warm waters, low to moderate vertical wind shear, and high low- to mid-level humidity. Therefore gradual strengthening is expected during the next couple of days, and the official forecast is close to the latest Decay-SHIPS model guidance. Later in the forecast period, the system may encounter a little drier air and its intensity become hindered by its interaction with the developing tropical cyclone closer to the coast of Mexico. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 11.1N 125.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 21/0000Z 12.1N 126.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 21/1200Z 13.3N 128.1W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 22/0000Z 14.1N 129.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 48H 22/1200Z 14.5N 129.2W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 23/0000Z 14.8N 128.4W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 23/1200Z 14.9N 127.7W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 24/1200Z 15.5N 126.2W 75 KT 85 MPH 120H 25/1200Z 16.8N 124.5W 65 KT 75 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 20, 08:48 AM UTC