Advisories

Vance

33 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 033 Oct 29, 02:32 PM UTC
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 291431
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
800 AM MST Thu Oct 29 2026
 
...FLOOD AND MUDSLIDE THREAT CONTINUES FOR MEXICO DUE TO VANCE...
...MOISTURE FROM VANCE WILL SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.6N 108.8W
ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM WNW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the west-central and northwestern coasts of Mexico
and the southern Baja California Peninsula should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was
located near latitude 21.6 North, longitude 108.8 West. Vance is
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue until Vance dissipates tonight or early Friday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Vance is expected to become a
post-tropical remnant low later today.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through tonight, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4
inches of rain across central and southern Sinaloa, far southwestern
Durango, and far northwestern Nayarit, with isolated higher totals
over 5 inches possible across central and southern Sinaloa. This
rainfall may produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas
along steep terrain.
 
Moisture carried northeastward from Vance combined with other
Pacific moisture will begin to produce heavy rainfall across the
U.S. Southern Plains and New Mexico today into Friday.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect coastal portions of
southwestern and west-central Mexico, as well as the southern
portion of the Baja California Peninsula, during the next day or
so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Hagen
 
NHC Advisory 032 Oct 29, 08:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 031 Oct 29, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 030 Oct 28, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Oct 28, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Oct 28, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Oct 28, 02:35 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Oct 27, 08:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Oct 27, 02:41 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Oct 27, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Oct 27, 02:31 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Oct 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Oct 26, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Oct 26, 08:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Oct 26, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Oct 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Oct 25, 02:59 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Oct 25, 08:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Oct 25, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Oct 24, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Oct 24, 02:54 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Oct 24, 08:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Oct 24, 03:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Oct 23, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Oct 23, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Oct 23, 09:00 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Oct 23, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Oct 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Oct 22, 02:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Oct 22, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Oct 22, 02:58 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Oct 21, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Oct 21, 02:37 PM UTC