Advisories

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 262033
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM VANCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP222026
2100 UTC MON OCT 26 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 106.1W AT 26/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE  90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 106.1W AT 26/2100Z
AT 26/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 105.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 15.6N 106.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.7N 107.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.1N 108.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.8N 108.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.3N 108.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 22.6N 108.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 106.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN