Advisories

Vance

29 advisories on record

NHC Advisory 029 Oct 28, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Oct 28, 08:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Oct 28, 02:35 AM UTC
000
WTPZ32 KNHC 280234
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Vance Advisory Number  27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP222026
800 PM MST Tue Oct 27 2026
 
...VANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 108.4W
ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests along the southwestern and west-central coasts of Mexico
and the southern Baja California Peninsula should monitor the
progress of Vance.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Vance was
located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 108.4 West. Vance is
moving toward the northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A gradual turn
toward the north is expected through midweek.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next couple of
days, and Vance could become a post-tropical cyclone during this
time if it is unable to sustain organized convection.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: Through Thursday, Vance is expected to produce 2 to 4 
inches of rain across central and southern Sinaloa, western Durango, 
and northwestern Nayarit, with isolated higher totals of 7 inches 
possible over central and southern Sinaloa.  This rainfall may 
produce flooding and mudslides, especially in areas along steep 
terrain.
 
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Vance,
please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic
available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Vance will affect coastal portions of
southern, southwestern, and west-central Mexico during the next few
days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Katz/Beven
 
NHC Advisory 026 Oct 27, 08:51 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Oct 27, 02:41 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Oct 27, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Oct 27, 02:31 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Oct 26, 08:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Oct 26, 02:34 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Oct 26, 08:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Oct 26, 02:37 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Oct 25, 08:35 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Oct 25, 02:59 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Oct 25, 08:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Oct 25, 02:45 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Oct 24, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Oct 24, 02:54 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Oct 24, 08:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Oct 24, 03:38 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Oct 23, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Oct 23, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Oct 23, 09:00 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Oct 23, 02:39 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Oct 22, 08:37 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Oct 22, 02:48 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Oct 22, 08:48 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Oct 22, 02:58 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Oct 21, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Oct 21, 02:37 PM UTC