Advisories
Marie30 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 8, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 8, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 8, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 7, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 7, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 7, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 7, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 6, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 6, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 6, 08:47 AM UTC
000 WTPZ43 KNHC 060847 TCDEP3 Hurricane Marie Discussion Number 21 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132026 200 AM PDT Sun Sep 06 2026 Convection associated with Marie, while showing well organized banding, has diminished some in intensity since the last advisory. However, this has not yet translated into a notable weakening in the various satellite intensity estimates. Thus, the initial intensity remains a possibly generous 80 kt. The initial motion is 315/7 kt. Marie is currently being steered by a mid- to upper-level ridge to the northeast and heading for a break in the ridge caused by a large trough over the U. S. West Coast. This trough is forecast to move northeastward during the next 24 h, allowing some ridging to develop north of Marie and turn the cyclone west-northwestward. By 48 h, a new trough developing to the northwest of Marie should turn the cyclone back to a northwest motion, with the low-level center continuing this general motion until the system dissipates. The new forecast track is in good agreement with the HCCA Corrected Consensus, the Google DeepMind ensemble mean, and the Florida State Superensemble. Marie is starting to move into sea surface temperatures below 26C, and the the temperatures get progressively colder along the forecast track. This, combined with some dry air entrainment, should start a steady weakening later today. After 48 h, increasing shear should cause the cyclone to become decoupled vertically, which should lead to the convection dissipating and the cyclone becoming post-tropical between 72-96 h. The global models forecast the low-level circulation to dissipate completely by 120 h, and the intensity forecast follows this. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 06/0900Z 23.1N 121.9W 80 KT 90 MPH 12H 06/1800Z 23.8N 122.7W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 07/0600Z 24.5N 123.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 36H 07/1800Z 25.1N 125.0W 50 KT 60 MPH 48H 08/0600Z 25.8N 126.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 60H 08/1800Z 27.0N 127.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 72H 09/0600Z 28.7N 128.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 96H 10/0600Z 32.7N 130.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 11/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 6, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 5, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 5, 02:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 4, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 4, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 4, 08:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 4, 02:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 3, 08:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 3, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 3, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 3, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 2, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 2, 02:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 2, 08:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 2, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 1, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 1, 02:41 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 1, 08:40 AM UTC