Advisories
Marie30 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 8, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 8, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 8, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 7, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 7, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 7, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 7, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 6, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 6, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 6, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 6, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 5, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 5, 02:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 4, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 4, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 4, 08:55 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 4, 02:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 3, 08:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 3, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 3, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 3, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 2, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 2, 02:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 2, 08:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 2, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 1, 08:32 PM UTC
000 WTPZ43 KNHC 012032 TCDEP3 Tropical Storm Marie Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132026 200 PM MST Tue Sep 01 2026 The satellite presentation of Marie continues to improve with curved bands over the northern and eastern portions of the circulation. Recent scatterometer data shows that Marie has a large wind field with tropical-storm-force winds extending outward up to 160 nautical miles over the eastern semicircle. The ASCAT data revealed peak winds of 45 kt and given the typical undersampling of that instrument, the initial intensity has been raised to 50 kt. That value is near a consensus of the various subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates. The storm will be moving over sea surface temperatures around 29 degrees Celsius and remain in a low shear environment during the next couple of days. With the large radius of maximum winds, it may take a little time for the system to establish an inner core, but once that occurs steady intensification is likely. The NHC intensity forecast is a little higher than the previous forecast and lies between the HCCA and GDMI models. There is some potential that Marie could strengthen more quickly over the next day or two than indicated in the forecast below. After day 4, cooler SSTs and a more stable airmass are expected to cause gradual weakening. Marie continues to move northwestward around the western portion of a mid-level ridge over Mexico. A narrow ridge is forecast to establish itself to the north of Marie in a day or two, which should cause the system to turn west-northwestward. After 72 hours, an amplifying mid-level trough along the west coast of the United State could cause Marie to slow down. It is after that time period that there is larger spread in the track guidance. The NHC forecast leans closer to the typically reliable HFIP corrected consensus model and the Google Deep Mind ensemble mean. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/2100Z 15.5N 109.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 02/0600Z 16.5N 110.5W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 02/1800Z 17.5N 111.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 36H 03/0600Z 18.4N 113.2W 85 KT 100 MPH 48H 03/1800Z 19.2N 114.8W 90 KT 105 MPH 60H 04/0600Z 19.8N 116.4W 90 KT 105 MPH 72H 04/1800Z 20.3N 117.9W 90 KT 105 MPH 96H 05/1800Z 21.7N 120.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 120H 06/1800Z 22.9N 122.9W 70 KT 80 MPH $$ Forecaster Brown
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 1, 02:41 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 1, 08:40 AM UTC