Advisories
Marie30 advisories on record
NHC Advisory 030 Sep 8, 02:39 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 029 Sep 8, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 028 Sep 8, 02:34 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 027 Sep 7, 08:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 026 Sep 7, 02:33 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 025 Sep 7, 08:49 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 024 Sep 7, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 023 Sep 6, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 022 Sep 6, 02:52 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 021 Sep 6, 08:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 020 Sep 6, 02:33 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 019 Sep 5, 08:40 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 018 Sep 5, 02:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 017 Sep 5, 08:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 016 Sep 5, 02:32 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 015 Sep 4, 08:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 014 Sep 4, 02:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 013 Sep 4, 08:55 AM UTC
000 WTPZ43 KNHC 040855 TCDEP3 Hurricane Marie Discussion Number 13 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP132026 200 AM PDT Fri Sep 04 2026 Marie has numerous bands of deep convection in its circulation, but the inner core is still not very well defined with a somewhat ragged-looking eye. The system has a prominent upper-level outflow pattern, indicative of a low-shear environment. Remotely-sensed intensity estimates are generally in the range of 80-90 kt, and the current intensity estimate is kept at 85 kt for this advisory. The hurricane is moving west-northwestward, or around 295/8 kt, on the southwestern periphery of a mid-tropospheric ridge. Global models depict a 500-mb trough swinging into California in a couple of days. This evolution is likely to result in Marie turning toward the northwest in 36 hours or so. Later in the forecast period, the weakening cyclone should move more with the low- to mid-level environmental flow and remain well offshore over the eastern Pacific. The official track forecast is nudged a bit to the right of the previous one in 3-5 days, toward the latest Google DeepMind and corrected consensus, HCCA, guidance. Marie is expected to remain in an environment of low vertical wind shear for the next several days. However SSTs are forecast to decrease, and the system should be encounter a drier low- to mid-level air mass by 48 hours. Some strengthening is forecast while the hurricane remains in a conducive atmospheric and oceanic environment through tonight. Later, a weakening trend is likely as Marie encounters less favorable conditions. The official forecast is close to the intensity model consensus. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/0900Z 19.9N 117.1W 85 KT 100 MPH 12H 04/1800Z 20.3N 118.1W 90 KT 105 MPH 24H 05/0600Z 21.0N 119.4W 85 KT 100 MPH 36H 05/1800Z 21.9N 120.5W 80 KT 90 MPH 48H 06/0600Z 22.7N 121.4W 70 KT 80 MPH 60H 06/1800Z 23.5N 122.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 07/0600Z 24.2N 123.3W 55 KT 65 MPH 96H 08/0600Z 25.3N 125.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 120H 09/0600Z 27.4N 127.7W 30 KT 35 MPH $$ Forecaster Pasch
NHC Advisory 012 Sep 4, 02:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 011 Sep 3, 08:43 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 010 Sep 3, 02:49 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 009 Sep 3, 08:56 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 008 Sep 3, 02:47 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 007 Sep 2, 08:42 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 006 Sep 2, 02:36 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 005 Sep 2, 08:44 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 004 Sep 2, 02:43 AM UTC
NHC Advisory 003 Sep 1, 08:32 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 002 Sep 1, 02:41 PM UTC
NHC Advisory 001 Sep 1, 08:40 AM UTC