Weather alerts for the NWS Binghamton NY forecast area

000
FXUS61 KBGM 281037
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
637 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Lowered dew points this morning. Increased high cloud cover this 
morning into the early afternoon before more sunshine arrives. 
Bumped up southwest winds slightly on Thursday, and boosted high 
temperatures in the favored valley locations into the low to mid-
70s. Increased west-northwest winds on Friday, with gusts between 20-
25 mph expected. Sunday is trending drier with more sunshine now.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1)Mainly dry weather with above normal temperatures will continue 
through the weekend. A few light rain showers are likely along and 
north of the Mohawk Valley Thursday night.

2) The next chance for rain showers will be for the early to middle 
portion of next week; although uncertainty remains on frontal timing.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

An area of high clouds will pass over the area this morning, through 
midday or early afternoon. Some filtered sunshine will likely make 
it through the rather thin high clouds, with more sun expected by 
late afternoon as the high clouds exit east. It will be warm, with 
highs in the 60s for most locations. Remaining mild tonight as a 
steady south wind develops. Temperatures only dip down into the 
upper 30s and 40s areawide, under mainly clear skies. 

Sunny skies prevail on Thursday and southwest winds increase between 
7-15 mph. This combined with 850mb temperatures reaching +10C will 
allow for high temperatures in the upper 60s to mid-70s, which is 
about 15 degrees above average for the end of October. 

A weak frontal boundary approaches Thursday evening into Thursday 
night from the north. This will bring increasing clouds and a few 
showers; mainly along and north of I-90. Rainfall amounts will be 
very light. From the Twin Tiers south into NE PA no rain is 
expected. After the dry cold front moves through there could be some 
lingering morning clouds over Central NY Friday morning. Otherwise, 
more sunshine is expected along with breezy west-northwest winds, 
with gusts up to 25 mph. It will be cooler, with highs in the mid-
50s to low 60s, except still mid 60s for the Wyoming Valley...this 
is still slightly above average for this time of year. High pressure 
builds overhead Friday night, Saturday and right into Sunday. This 
will set the stage for a seasonable, dry and exceptional fall 
weather weekend.

KEY MESSAGE 2...

While overall moisture and cloud cover may begin to increase on 
Monday, most of the deterministic model guidance is trending drier 
initially. With that said, the ensemble guidance and WPC still 
brings a lower chance for light rain showers Monday and Tuesday next 
week, with increase chances by the middle of next week. Exact 
frontal and shower timing remains to be seen, but eventually it 
appears our dry weather streak will come to an end sometime next 
week. Temperatures look to remain seasonably mild next week, with 
highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s and overnight lows generally in 
the upper 30s to 40s for most locations.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period at all 
terminals. Southerly flow develops this afternoon, with gusts up
to 15 knots across most sites.

Outlook...

Wednesday afternoon through Sunday...Mainly VFR. Morning fog at
KELM possible each morning. Low chance for showers at KSYR and 
KRME Thursday night with a cold front moving through.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MJM
AVIATION...ES