Weather alerts for the NWS Albany NY forecast area

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FXUS61 KALY 281049
AFDALY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
649 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this forecast update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Mainly dry weather will continue through this weekend with
the only chance for some light showers on Thursday night, 
especially for areas north and west of Albany.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

Upper level ridging will be in place across eastern New York 
and western New England through Thursday. High pressure slides 
off to the east today allowing for a south to southwesterly 
return flow to return to the region. This will allow for a 
gradual increase in temperatures as well as low level moisture. 
Near normal high temperatures in the 50s to lower 60s today 
will trend above normal to the 60s to near 70 by Thursday. A 
shortwave tracking up and over the ridge will bring some mid 
and high clouds today into tonight but no precipitation is 
expected. The only chance for any light showers will occur 
Thursday night as a cold front crosses the region. Moisture will
be limited with the best forcing remaining well to the north 
across Canada. Still, some moisture getting picked up from the 
Great Lakes should allow for some light rain showers, mainly for
areas north and west of Albany. There is the chance a few rain 
showers may extend eastward into the Capital District and some 
points south and east, but not enough confidence to include any 
PoPs at this time. Any rainfall amounts will be light and under 
0.10 inches. Drier weather returns regionwide Friday into next 
weekend as another high pressure system builds overhead with 
upper level flow becoming more zonal. Friday looks to be breezy 
behind the cold front with some gusts 25 to 30 mph, especially 
from the Mohawk Valley into the Capital District and Berkshires.
Model spread increases significantly for early next week 
leading to low confidence on when our next best chance for more 
widespread rainfall occurs.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 12z/Thu...VFR conditions are expected through much of 
the upcoming TAF period. High clouds will stick around through 
this afternoon. A few patchy mid and high clouds will likely 
linger through Wednesday evening as well but some clearing is
possible overnight. With an increase in low level moisture, some
patchy fog may form at some sites but confidence on this is low,
so left out of the TAFs at this time. Light to calm winds 
tonight will become southerly 4-8 kt on Wednesday, trending 
light to calm again Wednesday night.

Outlook...

Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...33