Events › 2026

Heavy Rainfall & Winds Associated With the Remnants of Rachel

Oct 11–12, 2026 · WPC Storm Summaries · Ended

  • Arizona
  • California
  • Nevada
  • Utah

Tropical cyclone

Hurricane Rachel (EP18) →

Track, advisories and model guidance

Summaries

3 summaries

First Oct 11, 09:31 PM UTC · latest Oct 12, 03:10 PM UTC

Source

NOAA Weather Prediction Center

Station values in WPC's text are preliminary

WPC outlooks as they stood at each summary

Not captured: this event's summaries were imported from the archive after they were issued, so the outlooks in effect at the time were not recorded. Events summarised since show the Excessive Rainfall Outlook and WSSI ice impacts as they stood at each summary.

Storm summaries

  1. Summary #3 · final

    Oct 12, 03:10 PM UTC

    Locally heavy showers and thunderstorms continue across portions of the Great Basin with a risk for scattered flash flooding

    Full text
    ACUS42 KWBC 121510
    SCCNS2
    
    Storm Summary Number 3 for Heavy Rainfall & Winds Associated With
    the Remnants of Rachel
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    800 AM PDT Mon Oct 12 2026
    
    ...Locally heavy showers and thunderstorms continue across
    portions of the Great Basin with a risk for scattered flash
    flooding...
    
    Flood Watches are in effect for much of the Great Basin.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 700 AM PDT...A low pressure center was analyzed along the
    California/Nevada border south of Reno with a pressure of 1002 mb,
    or 29.59 inches of mercury. An occluded front extended just to the
    southeast with a quasi-stationary boundary to the northeast
    through east-central Nevada into northern Utah and an arcing cold
    front to the south through southern Nevada and western Utah. Radar
    observations indicated ongoing showers and thunderstorms along and
    ahead of these boundaries, also supported aloft by a deep
    upper-low.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 700 AM
    PDT Fri Oct 09 through 700 AM PDT Mon Oct 12...
    
    ...ARIZONA...
    TOWERS MOUNTAIN                      6.02
    MOUNT UNION                          4.79
    SNOWSLIDE CANYON                     3.90
    WATERLINE ROAD 1                     3.39
    HUALAPAI PEAK 3 S                    3.30
    MOSS BASIN                           3.30
    BAKER BUTTE                          3.20
    WEST FLASGSTAFF                      3.02
    FLAGSTAFF                            2.77
    BLACK ROCK                           2.67
    KINGMAN                              2.34
    
    ...NEVADA...
    WHEELER PEAK                         3.40
    BRISTLECONE TRAIL                    3.10
    LAS VEGAS                            3.00
    UPPER KYLE CANYON                    2.78
    MT. CHARLESTON 3.7 NW                2.70
    SPARKILL                             2.51
    MT. POTOSI 4 NNW                     2.31
    PIOCHE                               2.23
    SUMMERLIN                            1.94
    ENTERPRISE 1 NW                      1.50
    PAHRUMP 1.0 NW                       1.50
    
    ...UTAH...
    FORSYTH BURN SCAR                    5.02
    PINE VALLEY                          4.93
    GARDNER PEAK                         4.70
    GUTZ PEAK                            3.90
    TIMPAGONOS DIVIDE                    3.60
    LAVA POINT                           3.54
    ALTA                                 3.50
    ATWATER                              3.50
    LAVA POINY                           3.23
    CEDAR CITY 18 SSE                    2.90
    SR-12 BOULDER SUMMIT                 2.86
    HORSE RIDGE                          2.84
    SNOWBASIN BASE                       2.74
    BUCKBOARD FLAT                       2.70
    ASH CREEK                            2.35
    
    ...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
    in the event...
    
    ...ARIZONA...
    KINGMAN 1 WSW                          65
    TUSCON INTL ARPT                       58
    BISBEE                                 54
    DAVIS MOUTNAIN AFB                     46
    HUACHUCA CITY 5 WSW                    46
    BUENOS AIRES NTL WILDLIFE REFUGE       45
    SONOITA                                44
    NOGALES INTL ARPT                      40
    
    ...CALIFORNIA...
    CRESTWOOD                              62
    SILVERWOOD WEST                        62
    HIGHLAND SPRINGS                       59
    HAUSER MOUNTAIN                        58
    APLINE                                 56
    HEMET 3 WSW                            54
    APPLE VALLEY ARPT                      53
    BURNS CANYON                           53
    
    ...UTAH...
    ENTERPRISE 5 SE                        97
    CHEPETA                                94
    BURNTFORK 16 S                         91
    WINDY PEAK                             81
    MINERSVILLE 9 SW                       79
    BRIAN HEAD                             76
    BRIAN HEAD 3 S                         76
    CENTRAL WASATCH PEAKS                  76
    SNOWBIRD 1 S                           76
    LOGAN PEAK                             74
    SOUTH MOUNTAIN                         72
    HAMILTON FORT 1 E                      71
    BOULDER 10 NE                          69
    ROCKY QD                               69
    HITE MARINA 18 NE                      68
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches where the
    event has ended...
    
    ...CALIFORNIA...
    PALOMAR CRS                          6.20
    BIRCH HILL                           5.73
    RUNNING SPRINGS                      4.90
    VISTA GRANDE                         4.90 RAWS
    TEENY PEBBLE CLIMATOLOGY             4.69
    ANGELES HILL                         4.49
    HEAPS PEAK                           4.45 RAWS
    LOWER OAT FLATS                      4.30
    ALLANDALE                            4.17
    MESA GRANDE                          4.00
    RILEY FAMILY WEATHER                 3.77
    YELLOW POST                          3.27
    MILL CREEK                           3.20
    SEVEN OAKS DAM                       3.12
    CACTUS CITY                          3.11
    SAN JACINTO NORTH                    3.00
    ELDER CREEK                          2.95
    TEMECULA                             2.28
    MT BALDY                             2.09
    TWENTYNINE PALMS                     2.08
    
    
    Lift associated with the deep upper-low and lingering moisture
    will continue to lead to thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall
    across portions of the Great Basin today, though with the
    upper-low now mainly providing the impetus for storms rather than
    an association with the remnants of Rachel. There is a Slight Risk
    Excessive Rainfall Outlook in effect Monday for the risk of
    scattered flash flooding, primarily for terrain sensitive areas
    such as burn scars and within slot canyons. Storms will start
    taper off Tuesday as the upper-energy begins to shift eastward and
    conditions begin to dry out, though a lingering isolated flash
    flood threat will remain for portions of western and northern
    Utah.
    
    This will be the last Storm Summary issued by the Weather
    Prediction Center for this event. Please refer to your local
    National Weather service office for additional information.
    
    Putnam
    $$
  2. Summary #2

    Oct 12, 03:00 AM UTC

    Locally heavy showers and thunderstorms are occurring across portions of the Great Basin and Four Corners region with an isolated to scattered flash flooding risk

    Full text
    ACUS42 KWBC 120300
    SCCNS2
    
    Storm Summary Number 2 for Heavy Rainfall & Winds Associated With
    the Remnants of Rachel
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    800 PM PDT Sun Oct 11 2026
    
    ...Locally heavy showers and thunderstorms are occurring across
    portions of the Great Basin and Four Corners region with an
    isolated to scattered flash flooding risk...
    
    Wind Advisories are in effect for much of the Great Basin, Four
    Corners Region, and Desert Southwest.
    
    Flood Watches are in effect for much of the Great Basin.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 700 PM PDT...A 996 mb (29.41 in Hg) surface low associated with
    the remnants of Rachel is moving northward into southwestern
    Wyoming. A stationary front is analyzed across the upper Mountain
    West with an attendant cold front pushing eastward across the
    Great Basin ahead of a broader upper trough moving across the
    West. NWS radar indicates waning showers and isolated
    thunderstorms across the Great Basin and Four Corners region,
    though a moisture plume is still present across Utah where there
    is a greater coverage of rainfall.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 700 AM
    PDT Fri Oct 09 through 700 PM PDT Sun Oct 11...
    
    ...ARIZONA...
    TOWERS MOUNTAIN                      6.02
    MOUNT UNION                          4.79
    SNOWSLIDE CANYON                     3.90
    WATERLINE ROAD 1                     3.39
    MOSS BASIN                           3.30
    BAKER BUTTE                          3.20
    WEST FLASGSTAFF                      3.02
    FLAGSTAFF                            2.77
    
    ...CALIFORNIA...
    PALOMAR CRS                          5.16
    BIRCH HILL                           4.80
    VISTA GRANDE                         4.13 RAWS
    HEAPS PEAK                           3.79 RAWS
    ANGELES HILL                         3.74
    ALLANDALE                            3.62
    LOWER OAT FLATS                      3.46
    CATCUS CITY                          3.11
    ELDER CREEK                          2.91
    SAN JACINTO NORTH                    2.60
    
    ...NEVADA...
    WHEELER PEAK                         3.40
    BRISTLECONE TRAIL                    3.10
    LAS VEGAS FW 3806                    2.99
    UPPER KYLE CANYON                    2.78
    
    ...UTAH...
    FORSYTH BURN SCAR                    5.02
    PINE VALLEY                          4.93
    GARDNER PEAK                         4.70
    GUTZ PEAK                            3.90
    TIMPAGONOS DIVIDE                    3.60
    ATWATER                              3.50
    LAVA POINY                           3.23
    CEDAR CITY 18 SSE                    2.90
    SR-12 BOULDER SUMMIT                 2.86
    BUCKBOARD FLAT                       2.70
    
    ...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
    in the event...
    
    ...ARIZONA...
    KINGMAN 1 WSW                          65
    TUSCON INTL ARPT                       58
    DAVIS MOUTNAIN AFB                     46
    HUACHUCA CITY 5 WSW                    46
    BUENOS AIRES NTL WILDLIFE REFUGE       45
    SONOITA                                44
    NOGALES INTL ARPT                      40
    
    ...CALIFORNIA...
    CRESTWOOD                              59
    HIGHLAND SPRINGS                       59
    SILVERWOOD WEST                        59
    HAUSER MOUNTAIN                        58
    APLINE                                 56
    HEMET 3 WSW                            54
    APPLE VALLEY ARPT                      53
    BURNS CANYON                           53
    
    ...UTAH...
    ENTERPRISE 5 SE                        97
    BURNTFORK 16 S                         91
    MINERSVILLE 9 SW                       79
    BRIAN HEAD 3 S                         76
    SNOWBIRD 1 S                           76
    HAMILTON FORT 1 E                      71
    BOULDER 10 NE                          69
    HITE MARINA 18 NE                      68
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches where the
    event has ended...
    
    ...CALIFORNIA...
    RUNNING SPRINGS                      4.90
    TEENY PEBBLE CLIMATOLOGY             4.69
    HEAPS PEAK                           3.90
    RILEY FAMILY WEATHER                 3.77
    MESA GRANDE                          3.40
    YELLOW POST                          3.27
    MILL CREEK                           3.20
    SEVEN OAKS DAM                       3.12
    
    
    Tropical moisture transport ahead of an amplified mid-level
    upper-trough and a cold front at the surface will lead to locally
    heavy showers and thunderstorms throughout the Great Basin/Four
    Corners Region and portions of the Desert Southwest for Monday.
    There is a Slight Risk Excessive Rainfall Outlook in effect with
    the continued risk of scattered flash flooding, primarily over
    burn scars and within slot canyons. Rainfall from the remnants of
    Rachel has saturated the soils as well, which will help contribute
    to the potential for flash flooding. Storms will start to taper
    off by Tuesday as conditions begin to dry out with a lingering
    isolated flash flood threat for portions of western and northern
    Utah.
    
    The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center at 800 AM PDT. Please refer to your local National Weather
    Service office for additional information on this event.
    
    Wilder
    $$
  3. Summary #1

    Oct 11, 09:31 PM UTC

    Heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding continue over the Great Basin to Desert Southwest associated with remnant moisture from Rachel

    Full text
    ACUS42 KWBC 112131
    SCCNS2
    
    Storm Summary Number 1 for Heavy Rainfall & Winds Associated With
    the Remnants of Rachel
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    200 PM PDT Sun Oct 11 2026
    
    ...Heavy rainfall and scattered flash flooding continue over the
    Great Basin to Desert Southwest associated with remnant moisture
    from Rachel...
    
    Wind Advisories are in effect for much of the Great Basin, Four
    Corners Region, and Desert Southwest.
    
    Flood Watches are in effect for much of the Great Basin.
    
    For a detailed graphical depiction of the latest watches, warnings
    and advisories, please see www.weather.gov
    
    At 100 PM PDT...A front that has become quasi-stationary was
    analyzed from northern Utah southwest through central to western
    Nevada and then south through southern California. Radar
    observations indicated widespread thunderstorms ahead of this
    front from northern Utah south into Arizona and west towards the
    Colorado River Valley. Anomalously high moisture from the remnants
    of Rachel as well as upslope enhanced flow along the more complex
    terrain of the Southwest is contributing to locally heavy
    rainfall.
    
    ...Selected preliminary Storm Total Rainfall in inches from 700 AM
    PDT Fri Oct 09 through 100 PM PDT Sun Oct 11...
    
    ...ARIZONA...
    KINGMAN 6.7 NNE                      1.84
    TOWERS MOUNTAIN                      1.75 AZ ALERT
    WILLIAMS 0.4 SW                      1.38
    LAKE HAVASU CITY 2.0 S               1.37
    
    ...CALIFORNIA...
    PALOMAR CRS                          5.16
    BIRCH HILL                           4.80
    VISTA GRANDE                         4.13 RAWS
    HEAPS PEAK                           3.79 RAWS
    ANGELES HILL                         3.74
    ALLANDALE                            3.62
    LOWER OAT FLATS                      3.46
    CATCUS CITY                          3.11
    ELDER CREEK                          2.91
    SAN JACINTO NORTH                    2.60
    SAN JUAN GUARD                       2.17
    OCEANSIDE                            1.79
    TEMECULA                             1.77
    THERMAL ARPT                         1.71
    
    ...NEVADA...
    LAS VEGAS 4.7 WNW                    2.21
    SANDY VALLEY 3.1 ESE                 1.68
    
    ...UTAH...
    AGUA CANYON                          1.50
    FORSYTH BURN SCAR                    1.41 HADS
    
    ...Selected preliminary Peak Wind gusts in miles per hour earlier
    in the event...
    
    ...ARIZONA...
    KINGMAN 1 WSW                          65
    TUSCON INTL ARPT                       58
    DAVIS MOUTNAIN AFB                     46
    HUACHUCA CITY 5 WSW                    46
    BUENOS AIRES NTL WILDLIFE REFUGE       45
    SONOITA                                44
    NOGALES INTL ARPT                      40
    
    ...CALIFORNIA...
    CRESTWOOD                              59
    HIGHLAND SPRINGS                       59
    SILVERWOOD WEST                        59
    HAUSER MOUNTAIN                        58
    APLINE                                 56
    HEMET 3 WSW                            54
    APPLE VALLEY ARPT                      53
    BURNS CANYON                           53
    
    ...UTAH...
    ENTERPRISE 5 SE                        97
    BURNTFORK 16 S                         91
    MINERSVILLE 9 SW                       79
    BRIAN HEAD 3 S                         76
    SNOWBIRD 1 S                           76
    HAMILTON FORT 1 E                      71
    BOULDER 10 NE                          69
    HITE MARINA 18 NE                      68
    
    
    The amplifying upper-trough and front will continue to lead to
    thunderstorms throughout the Great Basin/Four Corners Region and
    portions of the Desert Southwest through the next couple of days.
    The remnant moisture from Rachel will help contribute to
    efficient, locally heavy downpours with a risk for flash flooding.
    A Moderate Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level 3/4) remains in
    effect for portions of southern Nevada, far southwestern Utah, and
    far northwestern Arizona where scattered to widespread flash
    flooding is possible. A broader Slight Risk is in place throughout
    the region for more scattered instances of flash flooding. There
    is a Slight Risk for portions of the Great Basin into the Desert
    Southwest Monday for the continued risk of scattered flash
    flooding. Storms will start to taper off by Tuesday as conditions
    begin to dry out with a lingering isolated flash flood threat for
    portions of western and northern Utah. Storms will come to an end
    into Wednesday as the upper-energy finally shifts eastward towards
    the Plains.
    
    The next Storm Summary will be issued by the Weather Prediction
    Center at 800 PM PDT. Please refer to your local National Weather
    Service office for additional information on this event.
    
    Putnam
    $$

Forecast offices in the affected states

By the states WPC's summaries list. Each office page has its active alerts and latest Area Forecast Discussion.

Text: NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center Storm Summaries, shown verbatim. Grouping the summaries into one event, the outlook copies and the links are Stormlio's; WPC issues no event id. Station values are preliminary; the official record is NCEI Storm Data.