Weather alerts for the NWS Mobile AL forecast area

000
FXUS64 KMOB 281118
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
618 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 616 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

 - Moderate to strong northeasterly winds may occasionally create
   hazardous conditions for small craft mainly well offshore from
   Wednesday through Saturday.

 - A Moderate to High Risk of rip currents is expected for beach
   areas the rest of the week through the weekend.

 - Rain returns to the area this weekend.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 616 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

High pressure continues to dominate the sensible weather pattern
across the region. This will lead to mostly clear skies and highs
warming into the mid 70s to lower 80s. No changes were necessary
to the previous forecast. /73

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1127 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Through Friday night...an upper low over the Caribbean slowly opens 
before moving off Friday into the weekend. An upper ridge over the 
Gulf builds north over the Southeast, while taking a bit of an 
eastward jog as a series of shortwave troughs climb the west side of 
the building ridge. A surface low that has developed over the 
Caribbean meanders west to over the southern Gulf, bringing a stronger, 
more easterly flow to the northern Gulf coast as the pressure gradient 
tightens over the northern Gulf. Atlantic moisture begins to move 
back over the Gulf coast and northern Gulf beginning Thursday with 
the eastward shift in flow. Most guidance is advertising the best 
moisture return south of the northern Gulf coast through Friday, though.

Temperatures remain above seasonal norms through the rest of the 
week, with high temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s expected. 
Low temperatures rise with the increase in moisture helping to 
counterbalance the current good overnight radiational cooling. Low 
temperatures in the low to mid 40s north of Highway 84 tonight rise 
into the upper 50s north of Highway 84 to upper 60s closer to the 
coast by Friday night.

Saturday through Tuesday...A shortwave trough moves over the 
Southeast, bringing rain back to the region for the weekend, with 
better moisture return over the Southeast over the weekend. 
Instability, shear, and upper dynamics is modest at this time, so
any chance of strong to severe storms is low. A closed low is 
advertised developing and moving over the Plains early in the 
coming week, though path and speed is inconsistent, and with that,
its effects on the forecast area in the coming week. Ahead of 
this second system, temperatures see a bit of a downward trend, 
but otherwise remain at or above seasonal norms.

Taking a look at the Rip Risk on area beaches, a Moderate Risk of 
rip currents is maintained through the rest of the week, with an 
uptick to High in the coming weekend as winds over the Gulf take a 
more southeasterly shift, increasing swell making it to area beaches.
/16

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 616 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Winds may
briefly increase to around 10kts this afternoon before diminishing
after sunset. /73

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1127 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Light to moderate northeasterly winds prevails through 
Thursday, occasionally becoming stronger well offshore. A moderate 
to occasionally strong and mostly easterly flow follows for Friday 
through Saturday.
/16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      80  52  81  60 /   0   0   0   0 
Pensacola   80  61  82  65 /   0   0   0   0 
Destin      80  63  82  66 /   0   0   0   0 
Evergreen   78  48  80  55 /   0   0   0   0 
Waynesboro  80  45  81  52 /   0   0   0   0 
Camden      76  45  78  52 /   0   0   0   0 
Crestview   80  54  82  59 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$