Weather alerts for the NWS Nashville TN forecast area

000
FXUS64 KOHX 281051
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
551 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 550 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

- Warm, sunny days and cool, clear nights will continue through
  the work week.

- No rain is expected through at least Friday night, but the
  weather pattern will begin to shift this weekend.

- Drought conditions will continue to worsen in the near-term.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Friday Night) 
Issued at 1022 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

I tell you what. We may be crunchy and dry, but you can't ask for 
any better fall weather than we've seen in the last several days. 
Afternoon highs in the 70s and crisp wake-up weather in the 40s? 
It's been amazing -- and we're not done yet. More of the same is 
expected through Friday. There may be a day or two we reach 80 at 
BNA, but everybody else will maintain the 70s with light winds and 
lots of sun.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Wednesday) 
Issued at 1022 PM CDT Tue Oct 27 2026

Of course, anyone reading this is wondering about the weekend rain. 
It's safe to say, we're gonna get it. The question is when. When I 
left here last Friday, the GFS already had two days in the books 
bringing rain in here Saturday evening. 4 days later, that hasn't 
changed, so there has been some serious consistency with this. In 
the same vain, the Euro was dry all weekend. As of the 12Z run, it 
looks like it's finally coming around to the GFS, however just not 
as early. It's leaning more toward after midnight arrival. The NBM 
refuses to take a stand one way or the other, so we're gonna be 
another day or two to work the trick-or-treating news. The good news 
is forecast soundings aren't looking thundery. Unfortunately, this 
isn't going to be anything near a drought buster as most, if not all 
of Middle TN, will register less than 1 inch.

Here's the best news: the arrival of this weekend's rains looks to 
be a shift in the overall pattern with more rain in the cards next 
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 550 AM CDT Wed Oct 28 2026

VFR conditions will prevail for the taf period. Winds will be
around 5 kts or less out of the SSE/SE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      78  48  79  48 /   0   0   0   0 
Clarksville    79  48  80  47 /   0   0   0   0 
Crossville     71  44  74  44 /   0   0   0   0 
Columbia       79  45  80  45 /   0   0   0   0 
Cookeville     74  47  75  47 /   0   0   0   0 
Jamestown      73  47  75  47 /   0   0   0   0 
Lawrenceburg   76  45  78  45 /   0   0   0   0 
Murfreesboro   78  45  80  45 /   0   0   0   0 
Waverly        77  49  78  49 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Reagan