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Weather alerts for the NWS Morristown TN forecast area

NWS Weather Forecast Office Morristown TN, covering North Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia.

Active alerts

No active alerts for the NWS Morristown TN forecast area as of Oct 28, 01:37 PM UTC.

Listed by area: every active alert covering a county or zone of this office's area, whichever office issued it.

The area

42 counties in the NWS Morristown TN forecast area:

North Carolina

  • Cherokee
  • Clay

Tennessee

  • Anderson
  • Bledsoe
  • Blount
  • Bradley
  • Campbell
  • Carter
  • Claiborne
  • Cocke
  • Grainger
  • Greene
  • Hamblen
  • Hamilton
  • Hancock
  • Hawkins
  • Jefferson
  • Johnson
  • Knox
  • Loudon
  • Marion
  • McMinn
  • Meigs
  • Monroe
  • Morgan
  • Polk
  • Rhea
  • Roane
  • Scott
  • Sequatchie
  • Sevier
  • Sullivan
  • Unicoi
  • Union
  • Washington

Virginia

  • City of Bristol
  • City of Norton
  • Lee
  • Russell
  • Scott
  • Washington
  • Wise
Public forecast zones (47)
  • Cherokee NCZ060
  • Clay NCZ061
  • Anderson TNZ036
  • Bledsoe TNZ082
  • Blount Smoky Mountains TNZ072
  • Bradley TNZ100
  • Campbell TNZ013
  • Claiborne TNZ014
  • Cocke Smoky Mountains TNZ041
  • East Polk TNZ102
  • Grainger TNZ038
  • Hamblen TNZ039
  • Hamilton TNZ099
  • Hancock TNZ015
  • Hawkins TNZ016
  • Jefferson TNZ070
  • Johnson TNZ018
  • Knox TNZ069
  • Loudon TNZ068
  • Marion TNZ098
  • McMinn TNZ085
  • Meigs TNZ084
  • Morgan TNZ035
  • North Sevier TNZ073
  • Northwest Carter TNZ046
  • Northwest Cocke TNZ040
  • Northwest Greene TNZ042
  • Northwest Monroe TNZ086
  • NW Blount TNZ071
  • Rhea TNZ083
  • Roane TNZ067
  • Scott TNZ012
  • Sequatchie TNZ081
  • Sevier Smoky Mountains TNZ074
  • Southeast Carter TNZ047
  • Southeast Greene TNZ043
  • Southeast Monroe TNZ087
  • Sullivan TNZ017
  • Unicoi TNZ045
  • Union TNZ037
  • Washington TNZ044
  • West Polk TNZ101
  • Lee VAZ001
  • Russell VAZ006
  • Scott VAZ005
  • Washington VAZ008
  • Wise VAZ002

Area Forecast Discussion

Issued Oct 28, 11:39 AM UTC

Official NWS text
000
FXUS64 KMRX 281139
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
739 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 728 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

- Dry conditions will continue for the next several days with mild 
  highs in the 70s and seasonally cool lows in the 40s. 

- Relative humidity values will drop into the 30s during the 
  afternoon and early evening hours but with very light winds. 

- Rain chances return late Halloween night into Sunday. Strong
  winds are also possible the mountains and foothills. 

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 133 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

Currently, an upper ridge is centered to our east with over 1,030mb 
surface high pressure in New England. This pattern will promote 
continued dry weather and highs in the 70s after a cool morning. 
Daytime mixing will also allow for RH values to drop into the 30s 
but with a weak MSLP gradient and low-level flow limiting winds. By 
Thursday, the ridge becomes suppressed with high pressure remaining 
across the eastern U.S. Overall, the pattern will remain the same 
with overall seasonal temperatures and similarly low RH values. 
Heading into Friday, a shortwave will eject out of the Rockies, 
leading to increasing ridging over the region. Height rises will 
likely allow for temperatures to rise further into the 70s than 
recent days. 

For Halloween, the shortwave will approach from the west with 
surface high pressure strengthening and progressing off to our 
northeast. It is then expected to deepen overnight before reaching 
the area on Sunday, bringing rainfall by early morning. Exact timing 
of onset remains uncertain, but the best chances for the evening of 
Halloween are in southeast Tennessee and the Plateau. Strong winds 
are also possible in the mountains as guidance suggests 
southeasterly 850mb flow over 40 kts with a strong MSLP gradient due 
to the high to the northeast. This will limit rainfall totals 
further east, but rainfall is needed due to ongoing drought. After 
the shortwave progresses east on Monday, drier weather will return 
before another potential system by mid-week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 728 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

High clouds streaming in overnight most likely contributed to very
limited fog development this morning. Skies forecast to clear
later today. Otherwise, high pressure conditions expected to
continue for the TAF term with dry weather and light & variable
winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             74  48  76  48 /   0   0   0   0 
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  74  46  75  46 /   0   0   0   0 
Oak Ridge, TN                       74  46  75  46 /   0   0   0   0 
Tri Cities Airport, TN              73  44  74  43 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BW
AVIATION...KS

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