Tropical Cyclone Agueda

SH022027 Southern Hemisphere

Current Conditions

As of Oct 24, 12:00 AM UTC

Position
5.5°S 46.7°E
Intensity
30 kt
Pressure
1009.0 mb
Classification
—

Last JTWC warning 008 (final) · valid Oct 23 18Z: Tropical Cyclone

Track & cone

Best track Forecast track Cone beta
Intensity: D TD TS Cat 1 Cat 2 Cat 3 Cat 4 Cat 5 L Post-tropical / low Radii: 34 50 64 kt · click points for detail
Warning 008 Oct 23, 09:00 PM UTC
WTXS31 PGTW 232100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (AGUEDA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (AGUEDA) WARNING NR 008    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   231800Z --- NEAR 5.7S 47.7E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 5.7S 47.7E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   240600Z --- 5.6S 46.3E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
232100Z POSITION NEAR 5.7S 47.3E.
23OCT26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 02S (AGUEDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 505
NM EAST OF DAR ES SALAAM, TANZANIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION HAS
DETERIORATED OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS AS THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN UNABLE
TO SUSTAIN SPORADIC BURSTS OF CONVECTION. THE LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER WAS CAPTURED BY A 231720Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS
WHICH CONFIRMED WIND SPEEDS OF 25-30 KTS AROUND THE CENTER. MODEL
GUIDANCE IS IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ABOUT THE WESTWARD TRAJECTORY
AND CONTINUED DECAY OF TC 02S IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER
THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY
THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE
CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE AT 231800Z IS 1009 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 231800Z IS 12 FEET.//
NNNN

Track

Time Position Intensity Pressure Class
Observed · best track
Oct 21, 06:00 PM UTC 6.0°S 50.8°E 50 kt 997.0 mb —
Oct 22, 12:00 AM UTC 5.9°S 51.1°E 40 kt 1001.0 mb —
Oct 22, 06:00 AM UTC 6.0°S 50.8°E 50 kt 996.0 mb —
Oct 22, 12:00 PM UTC 6.2°S 50.1°E 55 kt 993.0 mb —
Oct 22, 06:00 PM UTC 6.7°S 49.7°E 50 kt 993.0 mb —
Oct 23, 12:00 AM UTC 5.8°S 50.0°E 35 kt 1003.0 mb —
Oct 23, 06:00 AM UTC 5.7°S 49.5°E 35 kt 1006.0 mb —
Oct 23, 12:00 PM UTC 5.8°S 48.7°E 35 kt 1006.0 mb —
Oct 23, 06:00 PM UTC 5.7°S 47.7°E 30 kt 1009.0 mb —
Oct 24, 12:00 AM UTC 5.5°S 46.7°E 30 kt 1009.0 mb —
Forecast OFCL · issued Oct 23, 06:00 PM UTC
Oct 24, 06:00 AM UTC +12h 5.6°S 46.3°E 25 kt — Low