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Weather alerts for the NWS Caribou ME forecast area

NWS Weather Forecast Office Caribou ME, covering Maine.

Active alerts

No active alerts for the NWS Caribou ME forecast area as of Oct 28, 01:35 PM UTC.

Listed by area: every active alert covering a county or zone of this office's area, whichever office issued it.

The area

6 counties in the NWS Caribou ME forecast area:

Maine

  • Aroostook
  • Hancock
  • Penobscot
  • Piscataquis
  • Somerset
  • Washington
Public forecast zones (15)
  • Central Penobscot MEZ011
  • Central Piscataquis MEZ010
  • Central Washington MEZ017
  • Coastal Hancock MEZ029
  • Coastal Washington MEZ030
  • Interior Hancock MEZ016
  • Northeast Aroostook MEZ002
  • Northern Penobscot MEZ005
  • Northern Piscataquis MEZ004
  • Northern Somerset MEZ003
  • Northern Washington MEZ032
  • Northwest Aroostook MEZ001
  • Southeast Aroostook MEZ006
  • Southern Penobscot MEZ015
  • Southern Piscataquis MEZ031
Marine zones (5)
  • Coastal Waters from Eastport, ME to Schoodic Point, ME out 25 NM ANZ050
  • Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to Stonington, ME out 25 NM ANZ051
  • Intra Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to Stonington, ME ANZ052
  • Waters from Eastport ME to Schoodic Point ME from 25 to 60 NM or the Hague Line ANZ080
  • Waters from Schoodic Point ME to Stonington ME from 25 to 60 NM ANZ081

Area Forecast Discussion

Issued Oct 28, 05:37 AM UTC

Official NWS text
000
FXUS61 KCAR 280537
AFDCAR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
137 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
- Minor tweaks to the low temperatures for this morning using
  the NBM10th percentile. 

- Added patchy river valley fog this morning but expect it to
  remain very low to the ground and to occur around sunrise. 

- 06z TAF UPDATE. See the aviation section below. 

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Generally dry weather through next Sunday. Drought 
conditions will worsen.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Generally dry weather through next Sunday. 
Drought conditions will worsen.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
High pressure this morning over New England will drift over the
Gulf of Maine waters today. On the backside a weak return flow
develops out of the SW at 5-10mph. A warm front pushing through
the Eastern Great Lakes will increase high clouds this afternoon
as moisture advects in aloft. The boundary layer today remains
very dry and with light winds will need to watch some fire 
weather concerns with dry fine fuels. By Thursday, the ridge 
will begin to shift eastward, allowing for stronger return flow
out of the SW to advect warmer air into the region. Highs on 
Thursday will rebound, in fact soar above average for this time 
of the year, lifting into the lower 60s throughout the forecast 
area.

Another cold front will cross the forecast area early Friday
morning, and will again be mostly moisture starved. There is a
chance for scattered showers along this boundary, however
rainfall amounts are likely to remain below a tenth of an inch,
with no improvement to drought conditions.

Otherwise, the dry conditons is bad news for the ongoing water
resources drought impacting the state. Much of Northern Maine, 
Central Highlands and Eastern Downeast Maine are experiencing 
only 50-75% of normal precipitation over the last 30 days. While
in the last 14 days areawide is less than 90% of normal. 
Overall, 30 day Standardized Precipitation Index blend has the 
Northern 2/3rd of the CWA in the Moderate to Severe Dryness 
category with portions of the Upper St. John Basin now dipping 
into the Extreme Dryness category. 

There is 38 USGS streamflow gages across the CWA which remain 
dismal, with 26 out of the 38 ranked Much Below Normal (<10th 
percentile). USGS Groundwater sites continue to show struggling 
groundwater conditions, Clayton Lake is at Record Low (deep) 
conditions on record (35 year POR). Millinocket, Kenduskeag, 
Hadley Lakes and Calais all reporting Below to Much Below Normal
conditions. Fort Kent is very low end of Normal conditions 
approaching slipping down into Below Normal conditions. 
Therefore, the US Drought Monitor continues the entire CWA in at
least Moderate Drought with 58% of the CWA in Severe Drought, 
this has the potential to worsen with continued precipitation 
deficits.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
06z TAF Update...

Rest of Tonight (Through 12z)...VFR with SKC. BCFG/BR possible
at PQI and HUL between 09-11z but confidence is low to moderate.
Light and variable winds.

Today through Thursday...VFR with SCT mid to high cigs. 
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots Today through Tonight, then 10 to
15 knots with gusts up to around 20 knots Thursday.

Thursday night-Friday...VFR/MVFR with chance rain showers,
particularly across terminals from KHUL northwards. SW 5-15kts 
becoming NW 10-20kts.

Friday night-Saturday...VFR. NW 5-15kts

Saturday night-Sunday...VFR. Winds light and variable, shifting
SW at 5 to 10 kts Sunday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas below small craft advisory levels today, with 
diminishing winds becoming light and variable by this morning, 
and seas 3 feet or less. 

Conditions diminish through Thursday morning with southwest 
winds increasing to marginal SCA levels over the coastal and 
outer waters into Friday morning. Seas increase to 5 ft over 
the coastal waters and 6 ft over the outer waters during this 
time before dropping Friday morning. NW winds Fri night-Sat 
likely less than 25 kts. Minimal fog on the waters through next 
weekend.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JS
AVIATION...JS

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