Weather alerts for the NWS Juneau AK forecast area

000
FXAK67 PAJK 281256
AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
456 AM AKDT Wed Oct 28 2026

.SYNOPSIS...

Key Messages:

- Quiet weather through at least Saturday with more sun and dry 
  conditions expected.

- Northerly outflow winds expected to decrease through Wednesday.

- A return to a wetter pattern expected by the end of the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../ through Friday Night / High pressure is over the
panhandle area and Mostly clear skies will continue through the
rest of the week and to the weekend. Northerly wind gradient 
today will begin to weaken overnight and into the late Wednesday 
night and Thursday. Rain band which is oriented North-South over 
the gulf of Alaska is drifting slowly east an approaches the 
Yakutat area Friday night. 

.LONG TERM.../Friday through Monday/...
A ridge of high pressure lasts over the Gulf and panhandle into 
Friday, however a pattern change begins later Friday into the 
weekend with a return of precipitation as a series of systems move
into the area. The first front will move in Friday from a low in 
the Bering Sea, pushing into the northern Gulf coast Friday night 
into Saturday morning, as the strong high pressure still looks to 
keep the front further westward and not fully pushing a front into
the rest of the panhandle until Saturday night into Sunday. The 
timing of this still looks to remain uncertain, largely dependent 
on how quickly the high pressure begins to break down and allow 
for the system to push east into the rest of the panhandle. Even 
more of the model guidance tonight is keeping the front further 
west and only pushing in as far as Yakutat through the start of 
Saturday, slowing down the onset of precipitation even further.

Alongside the remaining uncertainty of timing, the precipitation 
type expected is still uncertain and will depend on the location, 
as some areas may see cold air damming near the surface Saturday 
into the overnight hours as the front moves in. With this in 
place, locations at sea level across the northern panhandle may 
initially see rain with snow mixing in before the warmer 
subtropical air fully pushes in and makes its way down from the 
upper levels to warm the air near the surface enough to transition
to rain during the day Sunday.

This more active pattern will continue through the end of the 
weekend and into the start of next week as a series of lows move 
into the Gulf, keeping wetter and comparatively warmer weather in 
the forecast compared to this week.

&&

.AVIATION.../Through 12Z Thursday/...Benign conditions continue
for Wednesday morning with mostly clear skies across the 
panhandle. Northerly winds have calmed down for a majority of the 
TAF sites, with the exception of some sites in the central 
panhandle still seeing gusts to 20 kts. Winds may increase to 
around 10 kts through the day, but will decrease again overnight. 
Not expecting much fog development apart from potentially isolated
spots along the Icy Strait Corridor and Yakutat due to how dry it
is, but even spots that are saturated enough are below freezing 
which may inhibit this. Otherwise, mostly clear skies will prevail
through the rest of the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Outside (Gulf and Coastal Waters): A generally north 
becoming more northeast to the wind with stronger winds south of 
Cross Sound wind and strongest in the far SE corner of the gulf 
with 20 to 25 kt. Winds expected to fall below 20 kt by late 
afternoon. 

Inside(Inner Channels): North winds 15 to 25 kt primarily with a 
few localized sites up to 30 kt Wednesday morning. Winds 
decreasing by afternoon to 20 kt or less. 
 


&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-031-033-034-641-642-661>663. 

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Bezenek
LONG TERM...Contino
AVIATION...ZTK
MARINE...Bezenek

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